Dust Does Not Cause 3 Million Strokes, Heart Attacks, or Other Deaths a Year, States PCD

In the run-up to international climate change talks in Paris, and with pressure from the Pope to help “smoke out” Congress on “climate change denial,” the press celebrates a study purporting to show 3 million premature deaths per year globally from air pollution.

The most important component of pollution is said to be small particulates—smoke and dust, along with ozone. Cutting CO2 emissions would incidentally cut down on these particulates (PM2.5s) and allegedly postpone 3 million deaths from stroke, heart attack, chronic obstructive lung disease, acute lower respiratory infection, and lung cancer. The study was published in the Sep 17 issue of the prestigious British journal Nature.

Complicated mathematical models are used to extrapolate conclusions from small epidemiologic studies to the entire globe, notes Physicians for Civil Defense. They assume that all particles are equally deadly, no matter their composition, and that tiny exposures over time can be as bad as or worse than a big exposure all at once. They ignore other possible explanations for different rates of diseases in different locations. Continue reading “Dust Does Not Cause 3 Million Strokes, Heart Attacks, or Other Deaths a Year, States PCD”

The “Bomb Boat” of Martha’s Vineyard: Travelers’ Warning from Physicians for Civil Defense

The “Bomb Boat” is ferry workers’ nickname for the MV Sankaty, which carries fuel tanker trucks. It docks next to the passenger ferry Island Home, which can carry up to 1,000 passengers, according to Stephen Jones, Special Projects Director of Physicians for Civil Defense.

Jones has investigated what he considers unsafe conditions on the Martha’s Vineyard Steamship Authority ferries. His sources are senior ferry workers and personal observation. He has also met with eight members of the Steamship Authority and with county emergency manager Chuck Conior. Continue reading “The “Bomb Boat” of Martha’s Vineyard: Travelers’ Warning from Physicians for Civil Defense”

2014: Year of Hottest Rhetoric, Not of Hottest Climate

TUCSON, Ariz. The state of the Climate 2014 report by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the American Meteorological Society “delves into the details of already reported record-smashing warmth globally  in 2014,” according to the Associated Press.

The report actually states that there is an estimated 48% probability that 2014 is the warmest over the 1880 – 2014 period in the NOAA record. (NASA scientist Gavin Schmidt said the probability was 38%.) Continue reading “2014: Year of Hottest Rhetoric, Not of Hottest Climate”

Fireworks, Coal-Fired Electricity Not a ‘Medical Emergency,’ States Physicians for Civil Defense

 

Pope Francis, President Obama, medical organizations, and the prestigious British medical journal The Lancet are all demanding “action” to prevent disastrous public health effects from “climate change.”

The most important action is the Obama Administration’s war on coal, the biggest source of carbon dioxide emissions, and the fuel for some 40 percent of the nation’s electricity generation. Since the decrease in carbon dioxide emissions could have, at most, a negligible effect on global temperature, according to current computer models, that is not a factor in the hypothetical number of “lives saved.”

The public health rationale for the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) draconian “mercury rule” is the predicted decrease in deaths from respiratory ailments. The actual suspect for asthma deaths is not the mercury but the small (ultrafine) particulates (dust) also present in the emissions. These are called PM2.5s because they are less than 2.5 microns (0.0025 millimeters) in diameter.

Based on highly speculative calculations, and common statistical fallacies, the EPA has testified in Congress that PM2.5s can kill instantly in any dose.

If this is true, there is serious danger from fireworks. Air quality after the Fourth of July displays is about 40 percent worse than on normal days, and particulates can be 400 percent higher in Washington, D.C., between 8 p.m. and 10 p.m. on July 4. The study that measured the PM2.5s did not look for public health effects. EPA spokesmen commented that they wanted everyone to enjoy the fireworks, although they recommended that sensitive persons should watch from upwind.

“We do not expect a surge in emergency room visits by people wheezing because of fireworks,” stated Jane Orient. M.D., president of Physicians for Civil Defense. “And we want them to continue to enjoy the benefits of reliable, affordable electricity, including air conditioning.”

“The public health effects from job loss, power blackouts, and the economy-wide price increases from increased electricity prices would be immediate, severe, and real,” she said, “in contrast to the remote, tiny, and fanciful benefits of EPA coal rules.”

“If the EPA believed its own pronouncements, it would immediately ban fireworks.”

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Unholy Fire

Civil Defense Perspectives May 2015 Volume 31 No. 4

The sharpest dividing line between hominids and all other organisms is the use of fire, wrote the late Isaac Asimov (A Choice of Catastrophes). There is evidence of fire having been used by Homo erectus in caves in China half a million years ago. A method of starting a fire from scratch was probably discovered by a member of Homo sapiens around 7000 B.C.

In Greek mythology, the Titan god Prometheus stole fire, which Zeus had withheld from men, and delivered it to mortals. In retaliation, Zeus ordered the creation of Pandora, the first woman, to bring misfortune to the house of man. Continue reading “Unholy Fire”

Scandalous Civil Defense

Civil Defense Perspectives March 2015 Volume 31 No. 3

The U.S. long ago adopted the nonstrategy of deliberately leaving its citizens completely unprotected against nuclear weapons. For prevention it has depended on the concept of nuclear deterrence. This depends on the enemy being rational, concerned about its own survival, and identifiable—and the willingness and ability of the U.S. to utterly crush the foe.

Nuclear proliferation, unilateral U.S. disarmament, technological change, and the rise of many enemies willing or eager to die in the process of killing infidels mean that nuclear deterrence is much less reliable—or even impossible. Continue reading “Scandalous Civil Defense”

A Choice of Catastrophes

Civil Defense Perspectives January 2015 Volume 31 No. 2

All the calls for people to work to “Save the Planet” suggest that the Planet could have eternal life if only we banished the demon carbon dioxide to the nether regions of Earth. But of course the Planet had a beginning, and it will have an end. For perspective it is worth reviewing the late Isaac Asimov’s 1979 book A Choice of Catastrophes: the Disasters That Threaten Our World.

The heat death of the entire universe would seem to be an inevitable, inexorable end to everything not already destroyed.  The Earth could be rendered uninhabitable by collision with an asteroid, or by changes in the sun as it became a red giant and eventually a white dwarf. But on a smaller than astronomic scale, the force with the greatest likely impact is climate.  There have always been droughts, and floods, and storms, but could the Earth become a planetary Sahara or a planetary Greenland? The popular press in the 1970s was filled with threats of global cooling, which were endorsed by all major scientific organizations (http://tinyurl.com/q7pkmp4). Continue reading “A Choice of Catastrophes”

97 Percent Wrong

Civil Defense Perspectives November  2014 Volume 31 No. 1

The UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change may claim 95% confidence in its predictions, but 111 (97%) of 114 runs of climate models predicted temperature changes greater than observed (TWTW 8/23/14). After a 35-year simulation, models over-predicted actual temperatures by 200% to 750%. Would a 300-year simulation fare better (TWTW 11/8/14)?

Previously, the climate-research establishment denied the existence of a pause in the inexorable warming, but admitted that it would invalidate their theories. A 2008 report from the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) said: “The simulations rule out (at the 95% level) zero trends for intervals of 15 years or more” (Matt Ridley, WSJ 9/4/14). Continue reading “97 Percent Wrong”

U.S. House Vote Could Lead to War with Russia

In a resolution passed today in the U.S. House of Representatives, by a vote of 411 to 10, the U.S. effectively “declared Cold War on Russia,” according to a statement by Daniel McAdams, executive director at the Ron Paul Institute, to RT [Russia Today].

McAdams said it was also a declaration of war for Kiev against Donetsk and Lugansk, two new self-proclaimed states in eastern Ukraine. “This is a green light for the [NATO-backed] Poroshenko government to resume military actions against the “separatists” in Eastern Ukraine.”  Continue reading “U.S. House Vote Could Lead to War with Russia”

Emerging Viral Disease

Civil Defense Perspectives September 2014 Volume 30 No. 6
[published November 2014]

In March, a devastating Ebola epidemic was building up in Guinea, Sierra Leone, and Liberia, and was belatedly recognized as an international emergency by the World Health Organization only on August 6. At the Doctors for Disaster Preparedness meeting in Knoxville, Tenn., July 25-28, Steven Hatfill, M.D., gave an in-depth presentation on Ebola and other emerging diseases (http://tinyurl.com/mb3ftzo).

Some key take-home lessons: Continue reading “Emerging Viral Disease”